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I hope the Hurricane Center forecast is wrong, new tropical depression
Weathermen are often wrong, I hope this forecast for a hurricane just south of Negril on Monday is wrong but does not look good right now.
This is a 5 day forecast but hopefully the wind sheer across the Caribbean rips the storm apart!!
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Re: I hope the Hurricane Center forecast is wrong, new tropical depression
now thats not puurty now is it. prolly y nobody wants to say anythin,g it will probably curve, my prediction to the north so,Dont Worry Bout a Thing Cuz? yep
Re: I hope the Hurricane Center forecast is wrong, new tropical depression
Just bad timing - arriving on the heels of a holiday weekend??? I hope the forecast is wrong too.
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Re: I hope the Hurricane Center forecast is wrong, new tropical depression
right now the winds are not favorable for development in the area of Jamaica. Of course a lot can change in 5 days, but the sheer is pretty strong.
Plus, the Cone of death is centered over Jamaica 5 days out. Rarely will a storm hit the center of the cone this far out.
Re: I hope the Hurricane Center forecast is wrong, new tropical depression
Latest prog takes it way South of JA. and only a tropical storm at best....
Don't worry...be happy
Re: I hope the Hurricane Center forecast is wrong, new tropical depression
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Flipadelphia26
Plus, the Cone of death is centered over Jamaica 5 days out. Rarely will a storm hit the center of the cone this far out.
The "CONE OF DEATH"?? What?? What is this?! :eek:
This August will be my first time traveling to Jamaica during Hurricane season... I know I'm going to be checking the National Hurricane Center website every day leading up to departure and biting my nails. :(
Re: I hope the Hurricane Center forecast is wrong, new tropical depression
Remember to buy trip insurance! If you don't get it before the storm is officially named, then cancellation coverage does not apply!
Re: I hope the Hurricane Center forecast is wrong, new tropical depression
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Clarity
The "CONE OF DEATH"?? What?? What is this?! :eek:
This August will be my first time traveling to Jamaica during Hurricane season... I know I'm going to be checking the National Hurricane Center website every day leading up to departure and biting my nails. :(
The cone of death is the forecast cone in the picture in the first post. It is a matrix of all of the possible tracks according tot he forecast model. It means the the Eye of the storm could be in any part of that cone. The cone gets wider as you go further out due to the uncertainty of the forecast.
The eye rarely passes at the center of a cone that is 5 days out. I seriously doubt this will be anything significant from Jamaica.
This is coming from 5 years of living in Miami. Been through many Hurricane seasons.