Hang on to your hats .............. looks like Matthew is turning north

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Originally Posted by Rob

Being on the Negril Beach during Gilbert was a different time in 1988.

This is nothing like Gilbert.

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The eye Gilbert went straight down the Island from East to West with most of the wind racking the mountains. Ivan did the same but was slightly off shore of the South coast same path.

This one is like Sandy moving South to North we hope just offshore of Portland



Cap

Quote:

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Originally Posted by eddiemingus

Kingston is 76deg48min west. If this storm passes that point and still hasn't turned north hang on to your hats.

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Let's hope the modesl are correct. The six main models all agree on the turn. If it doesn't you'll have to hang on to more than your hat


BTW my yard is at 78.266° W

Cap

I just left the hardware store plenty of ply still. I'm thinking of using 1/2inch square mesh. My burgler bars are on the outside. Ply is $3100 per sheet. Mesh is $900 for almost the same size. If money is tight you might want to put up mesh.

We are fortunate to have our home built with impact resistant windows/glass...guess we'll see how they hold up though I still prefer not to find out!

This is a great article just came out Saturday night. Only 2 hurricanes out of 20 had a north south route. All the rest were parallel from souteast to wesr northwest
https://www.wunderground.com/blog/Je...?entrynum=3456

At the speed this storm is moving and if it doesn't change it won't reach until late tues early wed. This storm is totaly unconventional. They realy haven't got anything right yet except that it is a hurricane. It's made up of 2 cell's something they very rarely see if ever. My friend says Matthew is a batty mon and very confused. I'm staying vigilant but am just as confused as Matthew.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by eddiemingus

unconventional. They realy haven't got anything right yet except that it is a hurricane.

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I think the models have done very well. Here's the first run at 0800EDT last Wednesday and today's run. Matthew has not left the probability cone yet.

Attachment 46385 Attachment 46386

Attachment 46384

No change in the 1700 (5:00PM) forecast update.

Tomorrow will tell the tale.

Still looks positive....

Cap

Forecast holding as of 0500. Looks like the best place to be in Jamaica will be the west end of the Island.

But it sure is gonna rain!

Cap

Looks like we dodged a bullet, no wind or rain ja bless. I be praying for poor Haiti. They just can't catch a break.