Just saw that Ernesto is headed just south of Jamaica. I hope it stays away! For those in Jamaica, please be safe and check in with us.
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Just saw that Ernesto is headed just south of Jamaica. I hope it stays away! For those in Jamaica, please be safe and check in with us.
Ernesto looks to be going far south of Jamaica - we will be getting some rain and winds - but nothing more than a typical storm here in the Carib...
NOW HEAR THIS!!!!!
As I posted three days ago Enesto will be at least 90 nautical miles (105 statute miles) South of The South coast of JA. Wind forecast at the 1100 prog is now less that 20 kts.
After 40 years at sea crossing the Pacific more times than you can count....LISTEN UP
Calm the heck down. Don't worry ....be Happy
Rob, so glad to hear!
my family and friends think I'm crazy because I am concerned about the TS!! When they where talking about it on the news this morning and they mention something about West Jamaica I screamed OH NO NOT NEGRIL!!!!!! LOL
ha Luvs, that was exactly my reaction too! We were out to breakfast and caught a glimpse of the weather report on the cafe's tv.
I'm going to Negril the last week of August. Does the fact that Ernesto is forming now make it less likely that another will form later this month?
Attachment 16391Quote:
Originally Posted by Ron Bowman
Not to alarm anyone but a hurricane forming leave a void behind their path where another tropical system has less resistance and an easier chance to form.
Next week we will be talking about Florence I suppose and that has a REAL chance to be nasty. Hope not though.
Peace and Guidance
The 1600 ensemble computer prog on Florence has a consensus of a recurve North and East of Bermuda by next week.Quote:
Originally Posted by Accompong
All I know is that my plane better get me there on Wednesday!
Thanks...although not the answer I was hoping for ;)Quote:
Originally Posted by Accompong
Ron,
Hurricane prediction is in an inexact science at best. There are many factors that come into play. To suggest that this storm at the beginning of August means there will be one when you are here at the end of August is like saying that if it snowed in early December it will snow at the end of December.... No one can say with any certainty.
There is no reason to fret man...
I don't know if this will ease anyone's concern or not, but I will share my Tropical Storm/Hurricane experience.
It was Gustav and I think in 2008??? It was late August and my birthday...a few days before the storm they took all the boats/jet skiis, etc. etc. out of the ocean and the water was CALM...not ONE wave (really errie!!!!), and the day before they closed the airport and grounded all planes!!!!. I was at Hedonism II, and they gave us instructions on what to do and told us that if we wanted to leave that we could...well we said ***k it and decided to ride the storm out!!! The storm came and went and we survived...at one point the winds died down a bit and the rain eased up and we made our way to the dining room to get some food/drinks and as soon as we got there the winds and rain picked back up!!!! so we were stuck there instead of our rooms and Hedonism II has an open air dining room...OK!!!
Needless to say, the locals knew what to do and kept all the guest calmed and informed and all in all no major damage, but there was lots of flooding and the ocean waves were very choppy and high.
Been through every major storm in Jamaica since the big one, Gilbert, back in 1988. And yes Luvs, Jamaicans do know how to deal with the storms! This one is not even worth bothering about at this point...
Me thinks we wont be talking about Florence at all.... no chance of anything nasty at all...Quote:
Originally Posted by Accompong
Well said Rob, I like the analogy of the snow. Mother Nature will strike when she wants! We were there in 2008 during Tropical Storm Paloma in earlly November. The Jamaican's do know what they are doing. When they say it will be bad, it will be. We only had flooding and wind.
Belmont shore?Quote:
Originally Posted by Ron Bowman