anyone changing plans ?

[Celinda]

Unless we can't fly in, I'm still planning on celebrating my 60th birthday in April!

[eidu]

We still plan on going the first week of May unless we can't because of restrictions, cancelled flight, etc.

[JueandSoe]

SO far our flight is still booked so we will be there March 26th. Cannot live in fear!!!!

[DRPhil]

The chance of getting coronavirus are still less than being hit by lightning

[Accompong]

The chance of getting coronavirus are still less than being hit by lightning

Part of the problem with this calculation is that it would depend on whether you lived in a state where lightning was infrequent or in the lightning capital of Florida. Also, now when the virus has just begun spreading (like now) or projected density weeks and months from now. And, finally, if you shelter inside or run around with a tinfoil hat during a thunderstorm.

[Kold Ass Mofo]

Part of the problem with this calculation is that it would depend on whether you lived in a state where lightning was infrequent or in the lightning capital of Florida. Also, now when the virus has just begun spreading (like now) or projected density weeks and months from now. And, finally, if you shelter inside or run around with a tinfoil hat during a thunderstorm.

The other part of the problem with a lightning comparison is that the numbers being reported in the media are only for confirmed infections, a small portion of the total number infected.

Where I live you can't get a test unless they can connect the dots to an infected person, or you travelled internationally. They tell you NOT TO GO TO THE DR OFFICE or ER, stay put and self quaranteen. Call 911 when you're close to dead. A local woman was in Los Angeles, travelled by plane, is sick as %$# after returning, infected her husband. They won't test her because she did not leave the country. Just turn your bedroom into a diy ICU. Easy as that.

Flu kills 0.1% of infections, probably less since many people don't report.
Cov19 kills 3 to 5% depending on what numbers you use. 30 to 50 times more deadly and it is highly contagious by people with no symptoms, unlike the flu where you are sick as ^%$# when you are infectious.

Try reading Scientific America and not CNN or FOX for health news.

[gregandkelly63]

Flu kills 0.1% of infections, probably less since many people don't report.
Cov19 kills 3 to 5% depending on what numbers you use. 30 to 50 times more deadly and it is highly contagious by people with no symptoms, unlike the flu where you are sick as ^%$# when you are infectious.

Try reading Scientific America and not CNN or FOX for health news.

Not sure where you are getting your numbers, but they are way off. Here are the number for flu deaths from the CDC


0-4 years 1.3%
5-17 years 0.4%
18 - 49 years 1.8%
50 - 64 years 9%
65+ years 48.7%

Maybe Scientific America should fact check with the CDC.

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2018-2019.html

[sandman66]

The chance of getting coronavirus are still less than being hit by lightning

Unfortunately that isn't close to the facts. Hard to believe that 3 weeks ago lots of people on this thread alone were still planning on travelling. Question now is how much worse will it get before things start to improve? I don't think anyone has the answer but one at least slightly piece of positivity - our province has started to put out numbers of people recovered, not just infected. Yesterday they reported 8 new cases, but 7 recovered.

[DRPhil]

Unfortunately that isn't close to the facts. Hard to believe that 3 weeks ago lots of people on this thread alone were still planning on travelling. Question now is how much worse will it get before things start to improve? I don't think anyone has the answer but one at least slightly piece of positivity - our province has started to put out numbers of people recovered, not just infected. Yesterday they reported 8 new cases, but 7 recovered.

Just saw this article today

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ar...ed_142867.html

"A lot of digging into various municipal data portals reveals, based on the population tested, that rates can vary from, at most, eight-tenths of a percent in New York City to two-one-hundredths of a percent in Phoenix. "
"Did you know the chances of recovery from the coronavirus are about 98%—if you catch it? "
0.008 * 0.02 = 0.00016 or 1/6250

https://www.sheknows.com/living/arti...-surprise-you/

"12. Odds of being struck by lightning — 1 in 114,195

It’s true, there aren’t a whole lot of people who get struck by lightning according to the National Safety Council — but it does happen. Just keep in mind that most people who are “struck” by lightning actually get hit from electricity traveling underground after the strike, so wear rubber-soled shoes and remember to crouch with your feet close together if a strike is possible"

I take it back, getting hit by lightning is still rarer


so

[TuffGong]

If you have any lust for life why would you take the chance? I am 45 and in great shape, great health. I have a great job, house, money, etc. I cancelled our annual trip to Florida this month (was there in January) and didn't think twice about it. Why risk it? Even if you are in a "low risk" category have you seen what has happened to perfectly normal people? No way I can risk that for my family, all because I want to drink Red Stripes, Appleton rum, and listen to reggae muzik on the beach. Like texting and driving--it can wait.