I think it's going to be more busy than previous years. Everybody has been "locked up" for so long so folks are scrambling to travel. The airline industry knows this and has jacked up prices.
I think it has alot to do with how fast Jamaica gets vaccinated. Between the poor CDC rating and limits the Jamaican government is imposing to be safe, only the 'hearty traveler' will show up there. Only vaccination will bring things back to what we know is normal.