From the forecasts I'm seeing online, there's a 'tropical wave' that's east of the Southern Leeward Islands that they're saying might be a tropical depression by the weekend and maybe a hurricane by next week. What are you guys hearing down there?
From the forecasts I'm seeing online, there's a 'tropical wave' that's east of the Southern Leeward Islands that they're saying might be a tropical depression by the weekend and maybe a hurricane by next week. What are you guys hearing down there?
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Hearing the same things here, except we also are receiving high sea warnings for the fishermen and people who live on the Cays to come inland.
If it stays on the current track, it should make its closest approach on Monday, but we would be feeling the effects earlier than that. The northward turn will make all the difference, but with Fiona messing with it now and Gaston coming down to change the winds, it is really hard to say this far out what kind of weather we will be having on Monday.
But do expect some wind and rain no matter where it ends up - we had a fluke storm the other day that took down branches all over town. And that came outta nowhere!
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Looks like the storm will 'nip' the west end of the island with 4-8 inches of rain and 60-80mph wind gusts with the current forecast, Sunday and Monday
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The current track is moving more westerly, taking the storm further from Jamaica. Twenty miles further can make a world of difference.
But each time I check the updated track, it changes from the previous track so there are still many unknowns with this one. One nice thing is that they are guessing it will be moving at a rather fast pace meaning that whatever we get won't last the 3 days that was yesterday's track.
We will keep monitoring it closely so you have the latest accurate information available!
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Next update should be around 5pm or so....
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The new weather update has Jamaica under a Tropical Storm Watch. The current track has it slightly further from Jamaica and maintaining tropical storm status so this will produce some wind and rains, but nothing serious.
The main spaghetti models are pretty much overlapping, so this track seems to be the consensus for the future. Apparently, the chance of an early northern move is less likely now, so the storm will be well out at sea. We are expecting rough seas, the cliff properties on the West End will probably take some high waves.
The Jamaica Meteorological Service has stated that the rains and winds should start Saturday afternoon and continue until sometime Monday. We will be in the outer bands of the storm so the rain and wind will be on and off for probably the entire weekend.
We will have another update in the morning!
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Stay safe everyone! We anxiously await updates.