How long do these storms usually last? is it wise to postpone Nov 2 vacation?
How long do these storms usually last? is it wise to postpone Nov 2 vacation?
Embury. I arrive the same day and there won't be a problem. What time do you get in?Originally Posted by embury
Cap
Linston's Zion Hill Taxi
Captain Dave
i arrive at 7pm out of Toronto
By 7:PM I'll be well into my drinking and eating. I'm at Seastar for the weekend. Maybe our paths will cross......
Linston's Zion Hill Taxi
Captain Dave
How long is your reach Captaind? I'm arriving for a short stint on the 10th. If I'm not too tired (I'm leaving for the airport at 3:00 AM), I plan on making it to the Seastar concert/webcast that night. (and the One Love Bus Pub Crawl on the 14th)
Johio
Never failsleaving for Kingston tomorrow ! Hopefully it will pass quickly. Bringing my rain gear -haha
Only for the weekend. I going to a formal function at my Lodge in Sav on Sat night. Hope to get back to Seastar for the second set.
I'll be in my Eagles green on Monday night for the game at SS. Heading back on Tues morning.
Linston's Zion Hill Taxi
Captain Dave
Tropical storm sandy discussion number 2
nws national hurricane center miami fl al182012
500 pm edt mon oct 22 2012
the air force hurricane hunters found a band of surface winds near
35 kt over the southeastern quadrant of the cyclone...so the system
is being named at this time. The environment should be
characterized by weak shear...and the storm will be over warm
waters...for the next couple of days so additional strengthening is
likely. The official intensity forecast is similar to the previous
forecast and close to the model consensus. This could be
conservative...however...as the rapid intensification index shows a
significant possibility of rapid strengthening during the next day
or so.
Aircraft observations show that the central region of the storm is
characterized by a fairly flat pressure field...but the center
appears to be located somewhat to the south of the previous
estimates. However...little overall motion appears to have taken
place this afternoon. Global models predict that the
mid-tropospheric ridge to the north of sandy will gradually weaken
within the next day or so...which should allow the tropical cyclone
to begin moving north to north-northeastward soon. The official
track forecast is somewhat to the west of the model consensus but
not as far west as the latest ecmwf forecast. This is only a
little to the west of the previous official forecast track.
Forecast positions and max winds
init 22/2100z 12.5n 78.5w 35 kt 40 mph
12h 23/0600z 13.6n 78.5w 35 kt 40 mph
24h 23/1800z 14.9n 78.3w 45 kt 50 mph
36h 24/0600z 16.4n 77.8w 55 kt 65 mph
48h 24/1800z 18.2n 77.2w 60 kt 70 mph
72h 25/1800z 22.0n 76.0w 50 kt 60 mph...over water
96h 26/1800z 25.0n 75.0w 50 kt 60 mph
120h 27/1800z 27.5n 74.0w 45 kt 50 mph
Timm
Don't Tread on Me!
The tree of Liberty needs to be refreshed from time to tim with the "Blood of Tyrants"
If this holds it's good for Jamaica. The 48 hr prog puts it to the East . The Island will be on the lee side.
Linston's Zion Hill Taxi
Captain Dave
Wheres it suppose to be saturday? when i fly in?
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